When I first saw the cozy right field dimensions of the new Nationals Park, my first thought was “if their averages don’t improve at least we’ll see more home runs from Ryan Church and Brian Schneider.”
Well, today the Washington Nationals announced that they had traded Brian Schneider and Ryan Church to the New York Mets for outfielder Lastings Milledge. Milledge is only 22 years old and filled with raw talent, but the Mets are in “win now” mode, and are willing to trade potential in change for consistency and experience, particularly behind the plate.
I have to commend Jim Bowden for continuing to advance The Plan. Schneider in particular was a fan favorite — an original National whose experience is credited with holding together last year’s rag-tag pitching staff. Still, it’s hard to criticize the team for getting younger and cheaper while filling a hole. It could be an absolute steal if Milledge fulfills his potential in a Nationals uniform.
Here’s what concerns me. Am I the only one who noticed that the Nationals just traded their only 2 left-handed starting pull hitters in exchange for another righty?
With Church and Schneider gone, switch-hitting Dmitri Young is the only potential regular starter with even a slightly better career batting average vs. left-handed pitchers. Here are the career splits for the 11 Nationals position players who stand to get the most starts. The right column shows the difference in batting average when facing right-handed pitching (for Nook Logan, I only included his right-handed at-bats, since he is no longer a switch-hitter).
Player | vs Right | vs Left | Difference |
Dmitri Young | .286 | .295 | +.09 |
Cristian Guzman | .263 | .263 | — |
Felipe Lopez | .257 | .260 | -.03 |
Ronnie Belliard | .270 | .284 | -.14 |
Nick Johnson | .264 | .295 | -.31 |
Austin Kearns | .257 | .289 | -.32 |
Lastings Milledge | .246 | .281 | -.35 |
Wily Mo Pena | .247 | .283 | -.36 |
Jesus Flores | .220 | .270 | -.50 |
Ryan Zimmerman | .267 | .330 | -.63 |
Nook Logan | .237 | .314 | -.77 |
As you can see, things are fairly stable with the switch hitters at the top of the list, but it falls off the charts pretty quickly after that.
I hope the Nats have found the centerfielder of the future, but I just can’t get too comfortable with this young lineup. Last year, as a team the Nationals batted only .250 vs. right-handers while hitting .272 vs. lefties. You won’t find a differential like that on a playoff team, yet after today’s trade, how can it possibly improve?